Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.312081 3.824793 4.392174 5.066920 5.847958 6.724195 7.782697
2024-10-27 2.465821 3.092064 3.844804 4.817413 6.042849 7.538342 9.506372
2024-11-03 2.075766 2.797344 3.729768 5.025692 6.785238 9.098457 12.383134
2024-11-10 1.810873 2.603218 3.695826 5.317563 7.673410 10.986672 16.028442
2024-11-17 1.554613 2.368775 3.559246 5.434575 8.331062 12.662434 19.683235
2024-11-24 1.332308 2.140321 3.386512 5.459164 8.845059 14.201188 23.402337
2024-12-01 1.111168 1.873002 3.106393 5.261970 8.968607 15.142185 26.329254
2024-12-08 0.929653 1.637777 2.836496 5.029352 8.982872 15.889072 29.039044
2024-12-15 0.832204 1.528637 2.758414 5.107731 9.538332 17.637370 33.805442
2024-12-22 0.722460 1.379290 2.585341 4.983801 9.700157 18.693437 37.456191
2024-12-29 0.682468 1.352695 2.630946 5.274410 10.688794 21.447822 44.884824
2025-01-05 0.635219 1.304235 2.626598 5.464130 11.504245 23.984497 52.307534
2025-01-12 0.574822 1.223010 2.551321 5.510180 12.059457 26.139054 59.451919
2025-01-19 0.494092 1.086998 2.343975 5.244268 11.904833 26.770070 63.357508
2025-01-26 0.465439 1.059073 2.361448 5.475362 12.898250 30.105899 74.191114
2025-02-02 0.445776 1.048139 2.414458 5.796612 14.157931 34.274105 87.875724
2025-02-09 0.414451 1.005202 2.388167 5.926131 14.980606 37.547668 99.975091
2025-02-16 0.380278 0.950048 2.324735 5.954094 15.555560 40.310744 111.301680
2025-02-23 0.336621 0.864660 2.175230 5.739293 15.466773 41.360462 118.183100
2025-03-02 0.296596 0.782299 2.020786 5.485507 15.228383 41.968564 123.932796
2025-03-09 0.277370 0.751492 1.994020 5.571424 15.941225 45.302326 138.344363
2025-03-16 0.250416 0.695790 1.893421 5.436151 16.003486 46.816111 147.576605
2025-03-23 0.244463 0.697302 1.948076 5.753872 17.449910 52.616819 171.463064